← Süper Lig 2018 · Fri, Sep 21, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Serkan Cinar, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Erzurumspor FK win | 48% | 2.01 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.49 |
| Ankaragücü win | 24% | 3.95 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | 🟥 | Bakary Koné · Ankaragücü |
| 13' | 🟨 | Moussa Koné · Erzurumspor FK |
| 20' | 🟨 | Auremir · Erzurumspor FK |
| 21' | 🟨 | Egemen Korkmaz · Erzurumspor FK |
| 75' | 🟨 | Anton Putsila · Ankaragücü |
| 77' | 🟨 | Mostapha El Kabir · Ankaragücü |
| 90' | ⚽ | Kenan Özer · Ankaragücü |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 25 | Shots | 3 |
| 8 | On target | 1 |
| 12 | Corners | 2 |
| 14 | Fouls | 8 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Erzurumspor FK | Ankaragücü |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.80 |
| venue | Kazım Karabekir Stadyumu |
| coach days | 20.00 | 781.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.22 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | -3.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 7.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 4.20 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1342.93 | 1375.82 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 3.36 | 34.67 |
| eye test v1 | -0.38 | -0.41 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.09 | 0.26 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.20 | 52.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.62 | 0.65 |
| league points | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 14.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.00 | 72.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.80 | 45.00 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 0.33 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -3.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 9.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.91 | -0.78 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 28.52 | 30.14 |
| state index | -1.32 | -0.33 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.80 | -0.33 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.60 |