← Segunda División 2018 · Sun, Jun 9, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Jose Antonio Lopez Toca, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Gimnastic win | 40% | 2.43 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
| Lugo win | 30% | 3.26 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 33' | 🟨 | Abraham Minero · Gimnastic |
| 38' | 🟨 | Juan Muñiz · Lugo |
| 46' | 🟨 | Mohammed Djetei · Gimnastic |
| 55' | 🟨 | Orest Lebedenko · Lugo |
| 63' | ⚽ | Cristian Herrera · Lugo |
| 64' | ⚽ | Ikechukwu Uche · Gimnastic |
| 65' | 🟨 | Carlos Pita · Lugo |
| 83' | 🟨 | Bernard Sun · Gimnastic |
| 90' | 🟨 | Antonio Campillo · Lugo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 8 |
| 6 | On target | 2 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 11 | Fouls | 13 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Gimnastic | Lugo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.48 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.43 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.60 |
| venue | Nou Estadi Municipal |
| coach days | 251.00 | 251.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | -3.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 7.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.87 | 2.70 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.03 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1363.56 | 1442.06 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 11.49 | 20.03 |
| eye test v1 | 0.78 | -0.15 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.62 | 0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 47.80 | 57.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.29 | 1.57 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.81 |
| league points | 36.00 | 48.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.60 | 71.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.00 | 46.20 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 5.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.28 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 0.84 | 1.12 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.60 | -1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.00 | 9.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.55 | -0.81 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 26.03 | 28.98 |
| state index | -0.24 | -0.09 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.95 | -0.28 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |