← Segunda División 2018 · Sun, May 26, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Santiago Varon Aceiton, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Almeria win | 52% | 1.85 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.60 |
| Alcorcon win | 21% | 4.60 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | 🟨 | Yan Eteki · Almeria |
| 8' | 🟨 | Álvaro Giménez · Almeria |
| 34' | 🟨 | Laure · Alcorcon |
| 80' | 🟨 | Carlos Bellvis · Alcorcon |
| 81' | 🟨 | Juan Carlos · Almeria |
| 85' | 🟨 | Carlos Bellvis · Alcorcon |
| 85' | 🟥 | Carlos Bellvis · Alcorcon |
| 90' | 🟨 | Relu · Alcorcon |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 6 | Shots | 4 |
| 2 | On target | 2 |
| 1 | Corners | 5 |
| 18 | Fouls | 22 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Almeria | Alcorcon |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.20 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| venue | Estadio del Mediterráneo |
| coach days | 816.00 | 359.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 7.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.94 | 3.40 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1488.63 | 1413.88 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -7.35 | -30.46 |
| eye test v1 | -0.13 | -0.98 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.26 | -0.30 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.60 | 44.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.78 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.74 |
| league points | 58.00 | 52.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 67.20 | 74.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.20 | 52.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.41 |
| season ppg | 1.41 | 1.27 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -3.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 9.00 |
| skill v1 | -1.00 | -0.13 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 1.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 2.20 |
| squad age | 26.07 | 29.42 |
| state index | -0.22 | -0.79 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.33 | 0.54 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.17 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |