← Segunda División 2018 · Sat, May 11, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Damaso Arcediano Monescillo, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Numancia win | 50% | 1.93 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.25 |
| Alcorcon win | 20% | 4.84 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 24' | 🟨 | Carlos Gutiérrez · Numancia |
| 45' | ⚽ | David Rodriguez · Numancia |
| 51' | ⚽ | Alberto Escassi · Numancia |
| 52' | 🟨 | Alberto Escassi · Numancia |
| 87' | 🟨 | Hector Rodas · Alcorcon |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 8 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 12 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Numancia | Alcorcon |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.60 |
| venue | Los Pajaritos |
| coach days | 344.00 | 344.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.40 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 6.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.68 | 2.86 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1424.35 | 1438.77 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -25.94 | 5.33 |
| eye test v1 | -1.08 | -0.63 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.15 | -0.17 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.80 | 46.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.63 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.74 |
| league points | 42.00 | 52.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.80 | 75.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.80 | 53.20 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.28 | 0.41 |
| season ppg | 1.08 | 1.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | 0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.60 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.01 | 0.04 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.70 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 25.35 | 29.63 |
| state index | -0.88 | -0.13 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.57 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.18 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |