← Segunda División 2018 · Sun, May 5, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Victor Areces Franco, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Elche CF win | 49% | 1.98 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.48 |
| Rayo Majadahonda win | 23% | 4.17 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 20' | 🟨 | Ernesto Galan · Rayo Majadahonda |
| 57' | 🟨 | David Morillas · Rayo Majadahonda |
| 59' | ⚽ | Nino · Elche CF |
| 69' | ⚽ | Yacine Qasmi · Elche CF |
| 71' | ⚽ | Fede Varela · Rayo Majadahonda |
| 81' | 🟨 | Karim Azamoum · Elche CF |
| 88' | 🟨 | Javi Flores · Elche CF |
| 89' | 🟨 | Benito Ramírez · Rayo Majadahonda |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 14 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 8 | Corners | 2 |
| 17 | Fouls | 22 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Elche CF | Rayo Majadahonda |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 |
| venue | Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero |
| 3.20 |
| coach days | 458.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 2.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.54 | 2.77 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1468.69 | 1457.44 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 9.81 | -3.98 |
| eye test v1 | -0.06 | 0.42 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.14 | -0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.40 | 47.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 1.35 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.66 |
| league points | 49.00 | 47.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.80 | 80.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.00 | 55.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.28 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.29 | 1.24 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 14.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.39 | 0.70 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 27.84 | 29.91 |
| state index | -0.03 | -0.28 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.21 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.40 |