← Segunda División 2018 · Sat, Mar 30, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Ruben Avalos Barrera
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Almeria win | 53% | 1.81 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.35 |
| Rayo Majadahonda win | 18% | 5.44 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 30' | ⚽ | Luis Rioja · Almeria |
| 37' | 🟨 | Lucien Owona · Almeria |
| 52' | 🟨 | David Andújar · Rayo Majadahonda |
| 54' | ⚽ | Aitor Ruibal · Rayo Majadahonda |
| 57' | 🟨 | Fede Varela · Rayo Majadahonda |
| 60' | 🟨 | Iván Martos · Almeria |
| 66' | ⚽ | Álvaro Giménez · Almeria |
| 74' | 🟨 | Yan Eteki · Almeria |
| 76' | ⚽ | Aitor Ruibal · Rayo Majadahonda |
| 83' | 🟨 | Carlitos · Rayo Majadahonda |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 18 | Shots | 12 |
| 5 | On target | 6 |
| 3 | Corners | 4 |
| 15 | Fouls | 20 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Almeria | Rayo Majadahonda |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.20 |
| venue | Estadio del Mediterráneo |
| coach days | 759.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.19 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.81 | 1.56 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1501.58 | 1461.42 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -2.21 | 18.01 |
| eye test v1 | -0.61 | -0.15 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.09 | 0.21 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 65.70 | 50.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 1.43 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.83 | 0.62 |
| league points | 48.00 | 42.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 65.00 | 78.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 40.60 | 50.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 1.45 | 1.27 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -4.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 10.20 |
| skill v1 | -1.87 | 0.12 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 26.59 | 28.35 |
| state index | -0.15 | -0.05 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.43 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |