← Segunda División 2018 · Sun, Mar 24, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Juan Luis Pulido Santana, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Málaga CF win | 39% | 2.48 |
| Draw | 34% | 2.85 |
| Gimnastic win | 27% | 3.61 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 32' | 🟨 | — · Gimnastic |
| 63' | 🟨 | Iván Alejo · Málaga CF |
| 72' | 🟨 | Adrián González · Málaga CF |
| 72' | ⚽ | Dani Pacheco · Málaga CF |
| 83' | 🟨 | Dani Pacheco · Málaga CF |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 6 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 9 | Fouls | 20 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Gimnastic | Málaga CF |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.60 |
| venue | Nou Estadi Municipal |
| coach days | 174.00 | 296.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.16 | 2.50 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1359.07 | 1522.57 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 3.73 | -3.30 |
| eye test v1 | -0.49 | -0.37 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.10 | 0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.10 | 56.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.71 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.82 |
| league points | 24.00 | 52.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 66.20 | 75.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.20 | 47.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 0.77 | 1.68 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | 1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.80 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | -1.50 | -0.36 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 25.35 | 26.78 |
| state index | -0.40 | -0.01 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.78 | -0.26 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |