← Segunda División 2018 · Sun, Mar 24, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Damaso Arcediano Monescillo, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rayo Majadahonda win | 35% | 2.78 |
| Numancia win | 33% | 2.96 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.01 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | 🟨 | Verza · Rayo Majadahonda |
| 20' | ⚽ | Daniel Romera · Rayo Majadahonda |
| 26' | 🟨 | David Morillas · Rayo Majadahonda |
| 38' | ⚽ | David Andújar · Rayo Majadahonda |
| 40' | 🟨 | David Andújar · Rayo Majadahonda |
| 43' | 🟨 | Pichu Atienza · Numancia |
| 44' | 🟨 | Juan Carlos · Numancia |
| 44' | ⚽ (pen) | Héctor Hernández · Rayo Majadahonda |
| 49' | 🟨 | Adrian Ripa · Numancia |
| 52' | ⚽ | Héctor Hernández · Rayo Majadahonda |
| 77' | 🟨 | Dani Nieto · Numancia |
| 88' | 🟨 | Aristóteles Romero · Rayo Majadahonda |
| 90' | 🟨 | Aristóteles Romero · Rayo Majadahonda |
| 90' | 🟥 | Aristóteles Romero · Rayo Majadahonda |
| 90' | 🟨 | Markel Etxeberria · Numancia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 3 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 8 |
| 7 | On target | 0 |
| 5 | Corners | 0 |
| 16 | Fouls | 16 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Rayo Majadahonda | Numancia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — |
| venue | Estadio Cerro del Espino |
| 296.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.89 | 2.01 |
| elo | 1415.26 | 1444.82 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -7.14 | 0.35 |
| eye test v1 | -0.40 | -0.34 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.26 | 0.29 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 46.00 | 54.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 0.95 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.57 | 0.68 |
| league points | 33.00 | 36.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.60 | 77.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.20 | 58.60 |
| rest days | 6.75 | 5.63 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.31 |
| season ppg | 1.10 | 1.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.47 | 0.59 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.60 |
| state index | -0.55 | -0.39 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.72 | 0.79 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |