← Segunda División 2018 · Sat, Mar 23, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Aitor Gorostegui Fernandez Orte, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Elche CF win | 42% | 2.29 |
| Draw | 34% | 2.89 |
| Alcorcon win | 24% | 4.03 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | 🟨 | Dani Calvo · Elche CF |
| 11' | 🟨 | Esteban Burgos · Alcorcon |
| 16' | 🟨 | Xavi Torres · Elche CF |
| 20' | ⚽ | Josan · Elche CF |
| 31' | ⚽ | Juan Muñoz · Alcorcon |
| 42' | ⚽ (pen) | Xavi Torres · Elche CF |
| 56' | 🟨 | Édgar Badía · Elche CF |
| 64' | 🟨 | Tekio · Elche CF |
| 65' | 🟨 | Iván Sánchez · Elche CF |
| 71' | ⚽ | Gonzalo Verdú · Elche CF |
| 76' | 🟨 | Borja Galan Gonzalez · Alcorcon |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 14 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 3 | Corners | 2 |
| 16 | Fouls | 14 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Elche CF | Alcorcon |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.60 |
| venue | Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero |
| coach days | 415.00 | 295.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.71 | 2.21 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1433.23 | 1449.22 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 20.39 | -2.50 |
| eye test v1 | -0.65 | -0.74 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.07 | 0.39 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.90 | 52.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.57 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.66 |
| league points | 37.00 | 44.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.00 | 71.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.60 | 48.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.36 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.19 | 1.38 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 10.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.70 | -0.69 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 27.49 | 29.48 |
| state index | 0.05 | -0.56 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.45 | -0.16 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.20 |