← Segunda División 2018 · Sun, Feb 17, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Javier Iglesias Villanueva, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Málaga CF win | 38% | 2.56 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.04 |
| Rayo Majadahonda win | 30% | 3.22 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | 🟨 | Erik Morán · Málaga CF |
| 35' | 🟨 | Hector Verdes · Rayo Majadahonda |
| 78' | ⚽ | Adrián González · Málaga CF |
| 90' | 🟨 | Luis Hernández · Málaga CF |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 11 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 2 |
| 18 | Fouls | 18 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Rayo Majadahonda | Málaga CF |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.50 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| coach days | — | 261.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.19 |
| venue | Estadio Cerro del Espino |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.84 | 2.97 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1439.16 | 1525.86 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -2.07 | 15.70 |
| eye test v1 | 0.31 | -0.87 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.26 | -0.26 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.70 | 61.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.75 |
| league points | 30.00 | 46.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.40 | 73.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.40 | 40.60 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.15 | 1.77 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | -4.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 8.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.80 | -0.95 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 2.60 |
| squad age | 29.42 | 25.46 |
| state index | -0.18 | 0.13 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.62 | -0.39 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |