← Segunda División 2018 · Sat, Jan 26, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Oliver de la Fuente Ramos, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Lugo win | 42% | 2.32 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.14 |
| Rayo Majadahonda win | 27% | 3.55 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 21' | 🟨 | Carlos Pita · Lugo |
| 24' | ⚽ | Toni Martínez · Lugo |
| 27' | 🟨 | Hector Verdes · Rayo Majadahonda |
| 39' | 🟨 | José Carlos Ramírez · Lugo |
| 43' | ⚽ | José Carlos Lazo · Lugo |
| 47' | ⚽ | Aitor Ruibal · Rayo Majadahonda |
| 65' | 🟨 | Enzo Zidane · Rayo Majadahonda |
| 69' | ⚽ | Manu Del Moral · Rayo Majadahonda |
| 73' | 🟨 | Rafa · Rayo Majadahonda |
| 73' | ⚽ | Carlos Pita · Lugo |
| 78' | 🟨 | Juan Muñiz · Lugo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 15 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 2 | Corners | 3 |
| 17 | Fouls | 14 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Lugo | Rayo Majadahonda |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.29 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 117.00 |
| venue | Anxo Carro |
| — |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.14 | 2.85 |
| elo | 1402.62 | 1423.26 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 0.91 | -30.40 |
| eye test v1 | -1.30 | -0.24 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.29 | -0.06 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.50 | 40.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.29 | 0.88 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.59 |
| league points | 23.00 | 23.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.20 | 79.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.60 | 56.00 |
| rest days | 6.90 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.05 | 1.05 |
| skill v1 | -0.77 | 0.71 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.90 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.67 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.60 |
| state index | -0.57 | -1.08 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.20 | 0.61 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |