← Segunda División 2018 · Sun, Jan 20, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Santiago Varon Aceiton
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Tenerife win | 58% | 1.68 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.62 |
| Gimnastic win | 16% | 6.11 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 26' | 🟨 | Tete Morente · Gimnastic |
| 28' | ⚽ | Suso · Tenerife |
| 60' | ⚽ | Jorge Sáenz · Tenerife |
| 78' | 🟨 | Mikel Villanueva · Gimnastic |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 7 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 12 | Corners | 3 |
| 11 | Fouls | 15 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Tenerife | Gimnastic |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.22 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.24 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.00 |
| coach days | 141.00 | 111.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.03 |
| venue | Heliodoro Rodríguez López |
| corner diff avg (last 5) |
| 1.00 |
| -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.69 | 1.77 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1455.24 | 1359.07 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -0.85 | 1.32 |
| eye test v1 | 0.09 | -0.83 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.08 | 0.11 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.10 | 57.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 0.71 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.73 |
| league points | 22.00 | 16.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 23.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.00 | 67.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.00 | 38.60 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 0.73 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.40 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.16 | -1.76 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 2.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 28.70 | 25.37 |
| state index | 0.03 | -0.47 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.31 | -1.46 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |