← Segunda División 2018 · Sat, Jan 19, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: David Perez Pallas, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rayo Majadahonda win | 39% | 2.48 |
| Zaragoza win | 31% | 3.16 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.21 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 42' | ⚽ | Aitor Ruibal · Rayo Majadahonda |
| 63' | 🟨 | Ernesto Galan · Rayo Majadahonda |
| 63' | ⚽ | Fede Varela · Rayo Majadahonda |
| 74' | ⚽ | Alberto Soro · Zaragoza |
| 80' | ⚽ | Íñigo Eguaras · Zaragoza |
| 83' | 🟨 | Luso · Rayo Majadahonda |
| 90' | 🟨 | Verza · Rayo Majadahonda |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 6 | Shots | 16 |
| 4 | On target | 7 |
| 3 | Corners | 13 |
| 18 | Fouls | 10 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Rayo Majadahonda | Zaragoza |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.47 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 |
| venue | Estadio Cerro del Espino |
| 2.20 |
| coach days | — | 49.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.02 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.78 | 2.54 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.25 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.63 |
| elo | 1442.51 | 1475.11 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -34.18 | 8.27 |
| eye test v1 | -0.32 | 0.19 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.07 | 0.54 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 40.80 | 52.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.14 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.52 | 0.56 |
| league points | 25.00 | 25.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.40 | 80.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 59.40 | 56.60 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.14 | 1.14 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 7.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.60 | 15.00 |
| skill v1 | 1.11 | 0.84 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 27.12 | 26.06 |
| state index | -0.74 | -0.03 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.81 | 0.45 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |