← Segunda División 2018 · Sun, Jan 13, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Javier Iglesias Villanueva, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Elche CF win | 48% | 2.03 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.05 |
| Gimnastic win | 21% | 4.68 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 29' | 🟥 | Fali · Gimnastic |
| 49' | 🟨 | Gonzalo Verdú · Elche CF |
| 59' | ⚽ | Iván Sánchez · Elche CF |
| 71' | 🟨 | Manuel Sánchez · Elche CF |
| 71' | 🟨 | Leonardo Suárez · Gimnastic |
| 83' | 🟨 | Ousseynou Thioune · Gimnastic |
| 90' | 🟨 | — · Elche CF |
| 90' | 🟨 | Abraham Minero · Gimnastic |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 8 |
| 4 | On target | 2 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 19 | Fouls | 16 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Elche CF | Gimnastic |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.19 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.60 |
| venue | Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero |
| coach days | 346.00 | 104.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.03 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.27 | 1.84 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1409.26 | 1366.19 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 16.88 | -2.11 |
| eye test v1 | -0.47 | -1.08 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.01 | 0.22 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.10 | 60.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.72 |
| league points | 22.00 | 16.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 23.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.80 | 66.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.40 | 39.00 |
| rest days | 9.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.53 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.05 | 0.76 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.60 | 0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.40 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.80 | -1.80 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.40 |
| squad age | 27.10 | 25.18 |
| state index | -0.31 | -0.50 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.13 | -1.41 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |