← Segunda División 2018 · Sun, Jan 13, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Aitor Gorostegui Fernandez Orte, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Alcorcon win | 52% | 1.86 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.21 |
| Almeria win | 18% | 5.39 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 48' | 🟨 | Yan Eteki · Almeria |
| 82' | 🟨 | Eddy Silvestre · Alcorcon |
| 90' | 🟨 | Pablo Caballero · Almeria |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 16 |
| 2 | On target | 5 |
| 5 | Corners | 7 |
| 18 | Fouls | 21 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Alcorcon | Almeria |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.00 |
| coach days | 226.00 | 683.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.14 |
| venue | Santo Domingo |
| corner diff avg (last 5) |
| -1.20 |
| 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.47 | 3.89 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.62 |
| elo | 1491.31 | 1482.85 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -57.39 | 19.65 |
| eye test v1 | -0.77 | 0.14 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.26 | 0.49 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.90 | 61.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 0.71 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.57 |
| league points | 35.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.80 | 71.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.40 | 51.40 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.37 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 1.67 | 1.48 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 4.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.64 | -0.51 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.90 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 28.66 | 25.53 |
| state index | -0.76 | 0.29 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.71 | -0.24 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |