← Segunda División 2018 · Mon, Jan 7, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Abraham Dominguez Cervantes, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rayo Majadahonda win | 40% | 2.45 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.18 |
| Las Palmas win | 30% | 3.24 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | 🟨 | Francisco Varela · Rayo Majadahonda |
| 9' | 🟨 | David Timor · Las Palmas |
| 48' | 🟨 | Gabriel Peñalba · Las Palmas |
| 50' | 🟨 | Martín Mantovani · Las Palmas |
| 66' | 🟨 | Fede Varela · Rayo Majadahonda |
| 82' | 🟨 | Álvaro Lemos · Las Palmas |
| 88' | 🟨 | Eric Curbelo · Las Palmas |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 4 | Shots | 10 |
| 0 | On target | 3 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 15 | Fouls | 16 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Rayo Majadahonda | Las Palmas |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.51 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.00 |
| venue | Estadio Cerro del Espino |
| coach days | — | 51.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.84 | 2.71 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.24 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1443.11 | 1437.36 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -40.94 | -46.24 |
| eye test v1 | -0.02 | -0.10 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.26 | 0.08 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 44.90 | 53.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.62 | 0.59 |
| league points | 23.00 | 24.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 9.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.40 | 78.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 59.40 | 58.00 |
| rest days | 15.00 | 16.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.36 |
| season ppg | 1.15 | 1.20 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.60 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | 1.31 | 0.66 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 26.69 | 28.04 |
| state index | -0.63 | -1.27 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.66 | 0.59 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |