← Segunda División 2018 · Sat, Jan 5, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Gorka Sagues Oscoz, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Alcorcon win | 35% | 2.77 |
| Draw | 34% | 2.89 |
| Extremadura win | 31% | 3.08 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | 🟨 | Daniel Toribio · Alcorcon |
| 20' | 🟨 | Enric Gallego · Extremadura |
| 29' | 🟨 | Carlos Pomares · Extremadura |
| 32' | ⚽ | Kike · Extremadura |
| 44' | 🟨 | Daniel Toribio · Alcorcon |
| 44' | 🟥 | Daniel Toribio · Alcorcon |
| 47' | ⚽ | Giovanni Zarfino · Extremadura |
| 61' | 🟨 | Albert Dorca · Alcorcon |
| 64' | ⚽ | Enric Gallego · Extremadura |
| 87' | 🟨 | Eddy Silvestre · Alcorcon |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 14 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 8 |
| 13 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Extremadura | Alcorcon |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.15 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.20 |
| venue | Estadio Francisco de la Hera |
| coach days | 65.00 | 218.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | -1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.41 | 2.25 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1396.14 | 1511.58 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -1.89 | -26.63 |
| eye test v1 | -0.87 | -0.70 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.02 | -0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.00 | 55.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 0.63 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.62 | 0.55 |
| league points | 17.00 | 35.00 |
| league rank | 22.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.60 | 78.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.60 | 58.40 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 13.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.60 | 0.37 |
| season ppg | 0.85 | 1.75 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.60 | -0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.60 | 9.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.49 | 0.77 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 2.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 1.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.60 |
| squad age | 28.32 | 29.00 |
| state index | -0.55 | -0.36 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.17 | 0.99 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |