← Segunda División 2018 · Sun, Dec 23, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Luis Mario Milla Alvendiz
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Alcorcon win | 51% | 1.88 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.15 |
| Numancia win | 18% | 5.45 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 36' | 🟨 | Adrian Ripa · Numancia |
| 45' | ⚽ | David Fernandez · Alcorcon |
| 74' | ⚽ | Jordi Sánchez · Numancia |
| 80' | 🟨 | Borja Galan Gonzalez · Alcorcon |
| 87' | 🟨 | Carlos Bellvis · Alcorcon |
| 90' | 🟨 | Higinio Marín · Numancia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 13 |
| 1 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 8 |
| 15 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Alcorcon | Numancia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.20 |
| venue | Santo Domingo |
| coach days | 205.00 | 205.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 3.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 7.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.55 | 3.47 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1514.80 | 1458.91 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -18.37 | -15.31 |
| eye test v1 | -0.25 | 0.21 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.11 | 0.22 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.70 | 56.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.84 | 1.05 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.57 | 0.76 |
| league points | 34.00 | 22.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.60 | 80.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 59.80 | 62.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.39 | 0.14 |
| season ppg | 1.79 | 1.16 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 14.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.95 | 1.23 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 28.23 | 26.09 |
| state index | -0.00 | -0.40 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.05 | 0.86 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.18 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.40 |