← Segunda División 2018 · Fri, Dec 21, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Jorge Figueroa Vazquez, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mallorca win | 58% | 1.67 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.42 |
| Gimnastic win | 14% | 6.93 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 19' | 🟨 | Victor Martinez · Gimnastic |
| 31' | ⚽ | Pervis Estupiñán · Mallorca |
| 48' | 🟨 | Marc Pedraza · Mallorca |
| 82' | 🟨 | Fali · Gimnastic |
| 84' | ⚽ | Stoichkov · Mallorca |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 10 |
| 5 | On target | 1 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 10 | Fouls | 16 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Mallorca | Gimnastic |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.44 | 0.18 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.24 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.73 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 3.40 |
| venue | Iberostar Estadi |
| coach days | 629.00 | 81.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.22 | 1.89 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1468.77 | 1363.97 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -3.70 | -9.83 |
| eye test v1 | 0.77 | -1.35 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.30 | -0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.60 | 58.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.71 |
| league points | 27.00 | 13.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 23.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.20 | 63.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.20 | 36.80 |
| rest days | 5.83 | 5.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.36 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.42 | 0.68 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | -3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.20 | 9.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.79 | -2.28 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.00 | 2.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.33 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 2.20 |
| squad age | 26.65 | 26.94 |
| state index | -0.15 | -0.81 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.16 | -1.36 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |