← Segunda División 2018 · Sun, Dec 16, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Inaki Vicandi Garrido, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Extremadura win | 52% | 1.86 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.35 |
| Gimnastic win | 19% | 5.01 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | 🟨 | Victor Martinez · Gimnastic |
| 30' | 🟨 | Fausto Tienza · Extremadura |
| 43' | 🟨 | Vincenzo Rennella · Extremadura |
| 45' | 🟨 | Javi Marquez · Gimnastic |
| 47' | 🟨 | Jose Antonio Pardo · Extremadura |
| 67' | 🟨 | Roberto Olabe · Extremadura |
| 70' | ⚽ | Luis Javier Suárez · Gimnastic |
| 76' | 🟨 | — · Extremadura |
| 88' | 🟨 | Imanol García · Gimnastic |
| 90' | 🟨 | Manu Barreiro · Gimnastic |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 10 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 3 | Corners | 4 |
| 15 | Fouls | 22 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Extremadura | Gimnastic |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.19 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.22 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.40 |
| venue | Estadio Francisco de la Hera |
| coach days | 45.00 | 76.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.37 | 1.99 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.20 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1416.39 | 1350.50 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 33.12 | -36.93 |
| eye test v1 | -0.55 | -1.54 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.29 | -0.16 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.20 | 58.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.61 | 0.68 |
| league points | 17.00 | 10.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 23.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.40 | 61.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.80 | 38.80 |
| rest days | 9.00 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.63 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 0.94 | 0.56 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.60 | 9.20 |
| skill v1 | -1.15 | -2.33 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.00 |
| squad age | 27.12 | 27.36 |
| state index | -0.02 | -1.40 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.56 | -1.15 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.20 |