← Segunda División 2018 · Sun, Dec 16, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Victor Areces Franco, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| CA Osasuna win | 49% | 1.99 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
| Alcorcon win | 20% | 4.81 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 44' | 🟨 | Eddy Silvestre · Alcorcon |
| 49' | 🟨 | Juan Muñoz · Alcorcon |
| 53' | ⚽ | Eddy Silvestre · Alcorcon |
| 60' | 🟨 | Aly Abeid · Alcorcon |
| 64' | 🟨 | Fran Mérida · CA Osasuna |
| 71' | ⚽ | Xisco · CA Osasuna |
| 74' | 🟨 | Nono · Alcorcon |
| 82' | ⚽ | Roberto Torres · CA Osasuna |
| 88' | 🟨 | Jonathan Pereira · Alcorcon |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 13 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 11 | Fouls | 23 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | CA Osasuna | Alcorcon |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.51 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.40 |
| venue | Estadio El Sadar |
| coach days | 198.00 | 198.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.75 | 2.55 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1521.81 | 1523.13 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 15.45 | -1.29 |
| eye test v1 | 0.34 | -0.50 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.30 | 0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.90 | 59.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.56 |
| league points | 29.00 | 34.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.20 | 80.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.80 | 61.20 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.39 | 0.41 |
| season ppg | 1.61 | 1.89 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.40 | 9.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.26 | 1.17 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 27.66 | 27.72 |
| state index | 0.46 | 0.08 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.28 | 1.49 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.15 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.13 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.15 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.40 |