← Segunda División 2018 · Sun, Dec 16, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Ruben Avalos Barrera
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rayo Majadahonda win | 42% | 2.33 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.07 |
| Elche CF win | 27% | 3.61 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | 🟨 | Hector Verdes · Rayo Majadahonda |
| 34' | 🟨 | Neyder Lozano · Elche CF |
| 55' | 🟨 | Manuel Sánchez · Elche CF |
| 57' | ⚽ (og) | Luso · Elche CF |
| 59' | ⚽ | Iván Sánchez · Elche CF |
| 74' | ⚽ | Aitor Ruibal · Rayo Majadahonda |
| 90' | 🟨 | Aitor García · Rayo Majadahonda |
| 90' | ⚽ | Sory Kaba · Elche CF |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 18 | Shots | 12 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 19 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Rayo Majadahonda | Elche CF |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.80 |
| venue | Estadio Cerro del Espino |
| coach days | — | 318.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.02 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.84 | 2.27 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1470.34 | 1396.16 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 11.20 | -8.20 |
| eye test v1 | -0.21 | -0.27 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.16 | 0.30 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.00 | 60.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 0.84 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.72 |
| league points | 23.00 | 18.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.60 | 72.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.80 | 49.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.92 |
| scorer concentration | 0.36 | 0.58 |
| season ppg | 1.28 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.31 | -0.53 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.90 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 26.80 | 27.79 |
| state index | 0.08 | -0.84 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.11 | -0.33 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.40 |