← Segunda División 2018 · Sat, Dec 8, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Gorka Sagues Oscoz, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Granada win | 48% | 2.03 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.22 |
| Gimnastic win | 22% | 4.35 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 27' | 🟨 | Fede San Emeterio · Granada |
| 35' | ⚽ | Alejandro Pozo · Granada |
| 51' | 🟨 | Ángel Montoro · Granada |
| 61' | 🟨 | Manu Barreiro · Gimnastic |
| 77' | 🟨 | Leonardo Suárez · Gimnastic |
| 90' | 🟨 | Raúl Albentosa · Gimnastic |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 16 | Shots | 5 |
| 3 | On target | 1 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 19 | Fouls | 19 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Gimnastic | Granada |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 1.80 |
| venue | Nou Estadi Municipal |
| coach days | 68.00 | 190.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | 4.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 1.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.13 | 3.41 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1357.75 | 1515.54 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -39.55 | -14.98 |
| eye test v1 | -1.52 | -0.23 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.36 | -0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.40 | 57.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.58 | 0.78 |
| league points | 10.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 23.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 11.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 61.20 | 81.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 36.40 | 57.40 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 0.59 | 1.82 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.20 | 2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | -2.53 | 0.97 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.70 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 28.44 | 26.63 |
| state index | -1.43 | 0.05 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.13 | 0.97 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.00 |