← Segunda División 2018 · Sun, Dec 2, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Saul Ais Reig, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Numancia win | 59% | 1.65 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.76 |
| Gimnastic win | 16% | 6.12 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 23' | 🟨 | David Rocha · Gimnastic |
| 56' | ⚽ | Higinio Marín · Numancia |
| 61' | 🟨 | Imanol García · Gimnastic |
| 63' | ⚽ (og) | Raúl Albentosa · Numancia |
| 76' | ⚽ | Nacho Sánchez · Numancia |
| 85' | 🟨 | Unai Medina · Numancia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 7 |
| 4 | On target | 0 |
| 8 | Corners | 1 |
| 5 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Numancia | Gimnastic |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.60 |
| venue | Los Pajaritos |
| coach days | 184.00 | 62.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.14 | 1.87 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1454.45 | 1368.30 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -12.54 | -17.45 |
| eye test v1 | 0.06 | -0.98 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.05 | -0.22 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.20 | 58.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.71 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | 0.61 |
| league points | 18.00 | 10.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 23.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.00 | 58.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.20 | 34.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.13 | 0.63 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -4.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 8.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.54 | -2.94 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 26.32 | 27.48 |
| state index | -0.38 | -1.09 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.68 | -1.64 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.40 |