← Segunda División 2018 · Sun, Nov 18, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Juan Luis Pulido Santana, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Numancia win | 52% | 1.84 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.38 |
| Rayo Majadahonda win | 19% | 5.10 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | ⚽ (pen) | Iza Carcelén · Rayo Majadahonda |
| 32' | 🟨 | Markel Etxeberria · Numancia |
| 57' | 🟨 | Benito Ramírez · Rayo Majadahonda |
| 61' | 🟨 | David Morillas · Rayo Majadahonda |
| 65' | 🟨 | Andrei David · Rayo Majadahonda |
| 75' | ⚽ | Aitor García · Rayo Majadahonda |
| 90' | 🟨 | Pichu Atienza · Numancia |
| 90' | 🟨 | Ernesto Galan · Rayo Majadahonda |
| 90' | ⚽ | Francisco Villalba · Numancia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 17 | Shots | 12 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 11 | Corners | 3 |
| 13 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Numancia | Rayo Majadahonda |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.46 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.23 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.48 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 170.00 |
| venue | Los Pajaritos |
| — |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.70 | 1.78 |
| elo | 1455.60 | 1457.74 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -3.51 | -0.79 |
| eye test v1 | -0.17 | -0.78 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.24 | -0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.50 | 53.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.74 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.73 |
| league points | 17.00 | 16.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.60 | 75.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.20 | 49.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.83 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.31 | 1.23 |
| skill v1 | 0.40 | -0.18 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.60 |
| state index | -0.17 | -0.33 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.51 | -0.07 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.60 |