← Segunda División 2018 · Sat, Nov 17, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Alvaro Moreno Aragon
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Málaga CF win | 70% | 1.37 |
| Draw | 21% | 4.53 |
| Gimnastic win | 9% | 11.27 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | 🟨 | Gustavo Blanco · Málaga CF |
| 25' | ⚽ | Mamadou Koné · Málaga CF |
| 34' | 🟨 | Alfred N'Diaye · Málaga CF |
| 53' | 🟨 | Tete Morente · Gimnastic |
| 73' | 🟨 | Nicolao Dumitru · Gimnastic |
| 75' | 🟨 | Tete Morente · Gimnastic |
| 75' | 🟥 | Tete Morente · Gimnastic |
| 89' | 🟨 | Javier Ontiveros · Málaga CF |
| 90' | ⚽ | Adrián González · Málaga CF |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 4 |
| 3 | On target | 1 |
| 13 | Corners | 1 |
| 12 | Fouls | 15 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Málaga CF | Gimnastic |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.43 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.58 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.34 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 169.00 |
| venue | La Rosaleda |
| 47.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.68 | 1.63 |
| elo | 1462.17 | 1365.32 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -2.99 | -33.52 |
| eye test v1 | 0.27 | -0.51 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.05 | 0.43 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.70 | 56.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 0.63 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.66 |
| league points | 26.00 | 9.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 22.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.60 | 62.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.80 | 39.40 |
| rest days | 5.92 | 4.79 |
| scorer concentration | 0.35 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 0.69 |
| skill v1 | -0.61 | -2.17 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.60 |
| state index | -0.02 | -1.18 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.39 | -1.62 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 0.40 |