← Segunda División 2018 · Sat, Nov 17, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Alvaro Moreno Aragon
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Málaga CF win | 70% | 1.37 |
| Draw | 21% | 4.53 |
| Gimnastic win | 9% | 11.27 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | 🟨 | Gustavo Blanco · Málaga CF |
| 25' | ⚽ | Mamadou Koné · Málaga CF |
| 34' | 🟨 | Alfred N'Diaye · Málaga CF |
| 53' | 🟨 | Tete Morente · Gimnastic |
| 73' | 🟨 | Nicolao Dumitru · Gimnastic |
| 75' | 🟨 | Tete Morente · Gimnastic |
| 75' | 🟥 | Tete Morente · Gimnastic |
| 89' | 🟨 | Javier Ontiveros · Málaga CF |
| 90' | ⚽ | Adrián González · Málaga CF |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 4 |
| 3 | On target | 1 |
| 13 | Corners | 1 |
| 12 | Fouls | 15 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Málaga CF | Gimnastic |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.43 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.58 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.60 |
| venue | La Rosaleda |
| coach days | 169.00 | 47.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.63 | 1.63 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.19 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1534.99 | 1373.80 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -17.40 | -32.98 |
| eye test v1 | 0.27 | -0.51 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.05 | 0.43 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.70 | 56.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 0.63 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.66 |
| league points | 27.00 | 9.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 23.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.60 | 62.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.80 | 39.40 |
| rest days | 5.92 | 5.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.35 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.93 | 0.64 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.61 | -2.16 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 26.49 | 26.79 |
| state index | -0.03 | -1.04 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.39 | -1.62 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 0.40 |