← Segunda División 2018 · Sun, Nov 11, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Aitor Gorostegui Fernandez Orte, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rayo Majadahonda win | 37% | 2.62 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.07 |
| Almeria win | 31% | 3.09 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | 🟨 | Esteban Saveljich · Almeria |
| 31' | 🟨 | Andrei David · Rayo Majadahonda |
| 43' | 🟨 | Luso · Rayo Majadahonda |
| 43' | ⚽ | Aitor Ruibal · Rayo Majadahonda |
| 45' | 🟨 | Óscar Valentín · Rayo Majadahonda |
| 55' | 🟨 | Andoni López · Almeria |
| 68' | 🟨 | Yan Eteki · Almeria |
| 84' | 🟨 | Aitor Ruibal · Rayo Majadahonda |
| 88' | 🟨 | José Romera · Almeria |
| 89' | ⚽ | Aitor García · Rayo Majadahonda |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 8 |
| 4 | On target | 1 |
| 4 | Corners | 13 |
| 14 | Fouls | 17 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Rayo Majadahonda | Almeria |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.52 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| venue | Estadio Wanda Metropolitano |
| coach days | — | 620.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.84 | 1.03 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.60 |
| elo | 1459.14 | 1475.71 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -1.89 | 30.80 |
| eye test v1 | -0.90 | 0.00 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.42 | -0.16 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.20 | 56.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.44 | 0.75 |
| league points | 16.00 | 20.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.80 | 69.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.60 | 53.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.92 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.23 | 1.54 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 4.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.20 | 13.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.20 | -0.55 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 27.44 | 26.62 |
| state index | -0.20 | 0.28 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.05 | -0.39 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |