← Segunda División 2018 · Sat, Nov 10, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Jorge Figueroa Vazquez, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Lugo win | 39% | 2.49 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.07 |
| Alcorcon win | 29% | 3.29 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 31' | 🟨 | Laure · Alcorcon |
| 48' | ⚽ | Borja Galan Gonzalez · Alcorcon |
| 89' | 🟨 | Carlos Pita · Lugo |
| 90' | 🟨 | Juan Muñiz · Lugo |
| 90' | 🟨 | Antonio Campillo · Lugo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 6 |
| 3 | On target | 1 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 19 | Fouls | 10 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Lugo | Alcorcon |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.80 |
| venue | Anxo Carro |
| coach days | 40.00 | 162.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.20 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -3.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 7.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.51 | 2.75 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.39 |
| elo | 1420.67 | 1524.42 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -6.81 | 24.14 |
| eye test v1 | -0.86 | -0.63 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.07 | -0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.70 | 64.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | 0.86 |
| league points | 13.00 | 25.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.60 | 74.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.60 | 48.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.50 |
| season ppg | 1.08 | 1.92 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | -4.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 7.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.56 | -0.30 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 28.27 | 29.23 |
| state index | -0.40 | 0.29 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.77 | 0.47 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.16 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |