← Segunda División 2018 · Sun, Oct 28, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Luis Mario Milla Alvendiz
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| CA Osasuna win | 39% | 2.50 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.00 |
| Rayo Majadahonda win | 29% | 3.37 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | 🟨 | Carlos Clerc · CA Osasuna |
| 13' | 🟨 | Luso · Rayo Majadahonda |
| 40' | 🟨 | Rafa · Rayo Majadahonda |
| 43' | 🟨 | Fran Mérida · CA Osasuna |
| 47' | 🟨 | Oier · CA Osasuna |
| 55' | 🟨 | Unai García · CA Osasuna |
| 60' | ⚽ | Juan Villar · CA Osasuna |
| 77' | ⚽ | Aitor Ruibal · Rayo Majadahonda |
| 82' | 🟨 | Nacho Vidal · CA Osasuna |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 12 |
| 2 | On target | 1 |
| 2 | Corners | 3 |
| 14 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Rayo Majadahonda | CA Osasuna |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.20 |
| venue | Estadio Wanda Metropolitano |
| coach days | — | 149.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.24 | 2.20 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1470.79 | 1495.77 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 14.87 | 12.43 |
| eye test v1 | -0.57 | -0.65 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.24 | 0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.70 | 54.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.61 |
| league points | 15.00 | 15.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.60 | 70.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.20 | 51.00 |
| rest days | 7.04 | 8.04 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.36 | 1.36 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | 3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.71 | -0.61 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 28.56 | 27.60 |
| state index | 0.03 | -0.01 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.66 | -0.27 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.20 |