← Segunda División 2018 · Sun, Oct 21, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Abraham Dominguez Cervantes, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Reus win | 40% | 2.44 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.95 |
| Rayo Majadahonda win | 27% | 3.55 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 48' | ⚽ (og) | Édgar Badía · Rayo Majadahonda |
| 50' | ⚽ | Alejandro Catena · Reus |
| 66' | 🟨 | Ernesto Galan · Rayo Majadahonda |
| 81' | 🟨 | Jesus Olmo · Reus |
| 86' | ⚽ | Juan Dominguez · Reus |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 12 |
| 4 | On target | 1 |
| 7 | Corners | 5 |
| 11 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Reus | Rayo Majadahonda |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | — |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.53 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 3.20 |
| venue | Estadio Municipal de Reus |
| coach days | 120.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | — |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.40 | -2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 3.27 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1437.77 | 1480.28 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -17.42 | -1.01 |
| eye test v1 | -0.96 | -0.26 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.08 | -0.25 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.50 | 57.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.63 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | — |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | — |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.78 |
| league points | 10.00 | 15.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.20 | 80.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.60 | 54.80 |
| rest days | 7.92 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.43 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -8.80 | -4.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.15 | 0.66 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.30 | 4.44 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 26.10 | 28.13 |
| state index | -0.96 | -0.28 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.83 | 0.63 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.14 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.15 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | — |