← Segunda División 2018 · Sun, Oct 21, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Jose Antonio Lopez Toca
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Lugo win | 52% | 1.87 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.47 |
| Gimnastic win | 21% | 4.71 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 23' | 🟨 | Vasyl Kravets · Lugo |
| 42' | ⚽ | Carlos Pita · Lugo |
| 45' | 🟨 | Sergio Gil · Lugo |
| 45' | 🟨 | Isaac Becerra · Gimnastic |
| 47' | 🟨 | Miguel Vieira · Lugo |
| 48' | 🟨 | Josete · Lugo |
| 55' | 🟨 | Fali · Gimnastic |
| 79' | 🟨 | Carlos Pita · Lugo |
| 90' | 🟨 | Antonio Campillo · Lugo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 18 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 15 | Fouls | 15 |
| 6 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Lugo | Gimnastic |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.27 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 20.00 |
| venue | Anxo Carro |
| 20.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.67 | 1.75 |
| elo | 1400.63 | 1385.30 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 1.12 | -12.94 |
| eye test v1 | -0.46 | -0.78 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.09 | 0.14 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.80 | 55.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 0.63 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | 0.62 |
| league points | 9.00 | 6.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 22.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.00 | 68.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.20 | 43.00 |
| rest days | 7.13 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 0.67 |
| skill v1 | -0.10 | -1.30 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.80 |
| state index | -0.54 | -0.86 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.19 | -0.93 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.18 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |