← Segunda División 2018 · Sun, Oct 14, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Jorge Figueroa Vazquez, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oviedo win | 37% | 2.62 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.06 |
| Rayo Majadahonda win | 31% | 3.11 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | 🟨 | Fede Varela · Rayo Majadahonda |
| 33' | 🟨 | Aaron Ñiguez · Oviedo |
| 68' | 🟨 | Iza Carcelén · Rayo Majadahonda |
| 68' | 🟨 | Sergio Tejera · Oviedo |
| 90' | ⚽ | Luso · Rayo Majadahonda |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 11 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 7 | Fouls | 19 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Rayo Majadahonda | Oviedo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.52 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.20 |
| venue | Estadio Cerro del Espino |
| coach days | — | 470.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.20 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | — | 3.24 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1471.16 | 1500.66 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -25.54 | -17.30 |
| eye test v1 | 0.06 | -0.32 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.41 | -0.22 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.50 | 58.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | — | 1.23 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | — | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.65 |
| league points | 12.00 | 12.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.20 | 72.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.20 | 52.20 |
| rest days | 5.83 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.33 | 1.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | -0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.85 | -0.26 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 27.92 | 28.70 |
| state index | -0.43 | -0.22 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.57 | 0.08 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |