← Segunda División 2018 · Sun, Sep 30, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Javier Iglesias Villanueva, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Málaga CF win | 67% | 1.44 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.21 |
| Rayo Majadahonda win | 10% | 9.26 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | ⚽ | Jack Harper · Málaga CF |
| 22' | 🟨 | Luis Hernández · Málaga CF |
| 62' | 🟨 | Luso · Rayo Majadahonda |
| 68' | 🟨 | Federico Ricca · Málaga CF |
| 73' | 🟨 | Ernesto Galan · Rayo Majadahonda |
| 76' | 🟨 | Rafa · Rayo Majadahonda |
| 85' | 🟨 | Dani Pacheco · Málaga CF |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 18 | Shots | 12 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 19 | Fouls | 10 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Málaga CF | Rayo Majadahonda |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | — |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.49 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.00 |
| venue | La Rosaleda |
| coach days | 121.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | — |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 7.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.84 | — |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.02 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1538.18 | 1455.92 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 24.34 | -36.94 |
| eye test v1 | 0.09 | 0.66 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.24 | -0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.70 | 53.33 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | — |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | — |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | — |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.50 |
| league points | 15.00 | 6.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.80 | 81.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.00 | 56.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | — |
| season ppg | 2.50 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 15.20 |
| skill v1 | -1.22 | 0.94 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.40 |
| squad age | 26.19 | 26.66 |
| state index | 0.59 | -0.62 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.08 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | — |