← Segunda División 2018 · Sat, Sep 15, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Javier Iglesias Villanueva, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| CA Osasuna win | 39% | 2.51 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.00 |
| Gimnastic win | 29% | 3.31 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | 🟨 | Raúl Albentosa · Gimnastic |
| 17' | 🟨 | Abraham Minero · Gimnastic |
| 28' | 🟨 | Aridane Hernández · CA Osasuna |
| 78' | ⚽ | Manu Del Moral · Gimnastic |
| 86' | 🟨 | Fali · Gimnastic |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 9 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 3 | Corners | 7 |
| 17 | Fouls | 8 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Gimnastic | CA Osasuna |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| venue | Nou Estadi Municipal |
| coach days | 124.00 | 106.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.95 | 3.06 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1400.92 | 1484.18 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -39.62 | -30.46 |
| eye test v1 | -1.23 | -0.73 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.21 | 0.15 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.00 | 60.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.60 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.60 |
| league points | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| league rank | 23.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.60 | 72.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 40.40 | 52.20 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 0.20 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -8.60 | -0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | -1.18 | -0.27 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.70 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 27.64 | 27.71 |
| state index | -1.30 | -0.48 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.20 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.11 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |