← Segunda División 2018 · Mon, Sep 10, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Juan Luis Pulido Santana, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Lugo win | 34% | 2.81 |
| Rayo Majadahonda win | 34% | 2.87 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.03 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 23' | 🟨 | Bernardo · Lugo |
| 27' | ⚽ | Aitor García · Rayo Majadahonda |
| 28' | 🟨 | Hector Verdes · Rayo Majadahonda |
| 45' | 🟨 | Rafa · Rayo Majadahonda |
| 56' | 🟨 | José Carlos Ramírez · Lugo |
| 74' | 🟨 | Sancho Agudo Basilio · Rayo Majadahonda |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 18 | Shots | 9 |
| 7 | On target | 2 |
| 6 | Corners | 11 |
| 18 | Fouls | 16 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Rayo Majadahonda | Lugo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | — | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | — | 3.00 |
| venue | Estadio Wanda Metropolitano |
| coach days | — | 85.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | — | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | — | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | — | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | — | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | — | 2.31 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | — | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | — | 0.45 |
| elo | 1490.11 | 1426.55 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | — | -2.74 |
| eye test v1 | 0.46 | -0.65 |
| eye trend v1 | — | 0.28 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.67 | 52.70 |
| form points (last 5) | — | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | — | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | — | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | — | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | — | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | — | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | 0.64 |
| league points | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.67 | 81.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.33 | 59.40 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 9.00 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | — | -2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | — | 8.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.81 | 1.11 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.33 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | — | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 27.94 | 27.00 |
| state index | -0.07 | -0.43 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.39 | 1.36 |
| threat rate (last 10) | — | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.16 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | — | 0.60 |