← Segunda División 2019 · Fri, Jul 17, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: Santiago Varón
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Málaga CF win | 44% | 2.21 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.00 |
| Alcorcon win | 24% | 4.07 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Málaga CF −0.25 | 52% | 1.85 |
| Alcorcon −0.25 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 64% | 1.51 |
| Over | 36% | 2.67 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 22' | ⚽ | Juanpi Añor · Málaga CF |
| 65' | 🟨 | Fran Sandaza · Alcorcon |
| 72' | 🟨 | Carlos Bellvis · Alcorcon |
| 79' | ⚽ | Tete Morente · Málaga CF |
| 81' | 🟨 | Stoichkov · Alcorcon |
| 86' | 🟨 | Adrián Diéguez · Alcorcon |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 4 | Shots | 8 |
| 2 | On target | 2 |
| 1 | Corners | 3 |
| 16 | Fouls | 19 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Málaga CF | Alcorcon |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.44 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.80 |
| venue | Estadio La Rosaleda |
| coach days | 198.00 | 777.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.19 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | -1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.50 | 3.31 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1500.02 | 1471.07 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -10.01 | 1.54 |
| eye test v1 | -0.37 | -0.01 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.08 | 0.11 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.90 | 57.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 1.14 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.64 |
| league points | 50.00 | 57.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.20 | 68.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.40 | 45.20 |
| rest days | 4.06 | 3.97 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.19 | 1.36 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.00 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.45 | -1.11 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 26.77 | 28.94 |
| state index | -0.19 | -0.30 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.03 | -0.62 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |