← Segunda División 2019 · Mon, Jul 13, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: Daniel Ocón
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Tenerife win | 34% | 2.80 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.88 |
| Alcorcon win | 33% | 3.03 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Tenerife +0 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Alcorcon +0 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 62% | 1.54 |
| Over | 38% | 2.53 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | 🟨 | — · Tenerife |
| 13' | 🟨 | Daniel Lasure · Tenerife |
| 22' | 🟨 | Richard Boateng · Alcorcon |
| 59' | 🟨 | Carlos Bellvis · Alcorcon |
| 89' | 🟨 | Unai Elgezabal · Alcorcon |
| 90' | 🟨 | Adrián Diéguez · Alcorcon |
| 90' | 🟨 | Óscar Arribas Pasero · Alcorcon |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 19 | Shots | 6 |
| 8 | On target | 3 |
| 8 | Corners | 5 |
| 11 | Fouls | 17 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Alcorcon | Tenerife |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.45 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.49 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.80 |
| venue | Estadio Santo Domingo |
| coach days | 773.00 | 225.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.26 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.60 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.91 | 3.21 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.38 |
| elo | 1470.90 | 1536.97 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 15.55 | 39.98 |
| eye test v1 | -0.49 | -0.13 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.11 | -0.00 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.10 | 60.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.77 |
| league points | 56.00 | 60.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 66.60 | 80.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.40 | 50.40 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.37 | 1.46 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -4.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.80 | 8.80 |
| skill v1 | -1.49 | 0.37 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 27.51 | 27.32 |
| state index | -0.32 | 0.34 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.74 | 0.70 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |