← Segunda División 2019 · Wed, Jul 8, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: Dámaso Arcediano
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Huesca win | 51% | 1.93 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.30 |
| Alcorcon win | 20% | 4.86 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Huesca −0.5 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Alcorcon −0.5 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.61 |
| Over | 41% | 2.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 21' | ⚽ | Cristo González · Huesca |
| 30' | ⚽ (og) | Josué Sá · Alcorcon |
| 41' | 🟨 | Javi Galán · Huesca |
| 45' | ⚽ | Shinji Okazaki · Huesca |
| 63' | 🟨 | Ernesto Gomez · Alcorcon |
| 82' | 🟨 | Luis Perea · Alcorcon |
| 90' | 🟨 | Luisinho · Huesca |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 9 | Shots | 7 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 21 | Fouls | 20 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Huesca | Alcorcon |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.43 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.40 |
| venue | Estadio El Alcoraz |
| coach days | 403.00 | 768.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.25 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -4.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.64 | 2.95 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1552.48 | 1477.19 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 4.79 | 26.30 |
| eye test v1 | 0.14 | -0.71 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.10 | 0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.50 | 59.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.84 | 1.35 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.67 |
| league points | 64.00 | 56.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 9.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.60 | 67.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.20 | 41.80 |
| rest days | 3.20 | 3.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.64 | 1.40 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | -1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 9.00 |
| skill v1 | 1.05 | -1.49 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 27.18 | 29.06 |
| state index | 0.09 | -0.07 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.93 | -0.64 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.20 |