← Segunda División 2019 · Thu, Jul 2, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: Víctor Areces
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Albacete win | 38% | 2.57 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.90 |
| Alcorcon win | 29% | 3.44 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Alcorcon −0.25 | 54% | 1.80 |
| Albacete −0.25 | 46% | 2.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 64% | 1.51 |
| Over | 36% | 2.73 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | ⚽ | Fran Sandaza · Alcorcon |
| 33' | 🟨 | Eddy Silvestre · Albacete |
| 41' | 🟨 | Carlos Pomares · Alcorcon |
| 41' | 🟨 | Chema Núñez · Albacete |
| 44' | 🟨 | Reko · Alcorcon |
| 57' | ⚽ | Daniel Ojeda · Albacete |
| 59' | 🟨 | Álvaro Arroyo · Albacete |
| 78' | 🟨 | Manuel Fuster · Albacete |
| 79' | 🟨 | Richard Boateng · Alcorcon |
| 83' | 🟨 | Carlos Pomares · Alcorcon |
| 83' | 🟥 | Carlos Pomares |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 10 |
| 5 | On target | 5 |
| 4 | Corners | 1 |
| 12 | Fouls | 22 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Albacete | Alcorcon |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.52 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 1.80 |
| venue | Estadio Carlos Belmonte |
| 90' | 🟨 | Paris Barandiaran · Alcorcon |
| coach days | 762.00 | 762.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.29 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.71 | 2.57 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.34 |
| elo | 1451.29 | 1479.89 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 13.17 | -4.46 |
| eye test v1 | -0.32 | -0.44 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.07 | -0.35 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.10 | 59.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.35 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.67 |
| league points | 43.00 | 54.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 65.40 | 71.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.60 | 40.80 |
| rest days | 4.91 | 3.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.16 | 1.42 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -5.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 7.00 |
| skill v1 | -1.59 | -1.13 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 28.28 | 29.33 |
| state index | -0.07 | -0.29 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.95 | -0.19 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.60 |