← Segunda División 2019 · Thu, Jun 25, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: Iosu Galech
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Almeria win | 45% | 2.16 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
| Alcorcon win | 25% | 3.95 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Almeria −0.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Alcorcon −0.25 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 60% | 1.62 |
| Over | 40% | 2.42 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | 🟨 | Arvin Appiah · Almeria |
| 45' | ⚽ | Ernesto Gomez · Alcorcon |
| 63' | 🟨 | Iván Balliu · Almeria |
| 72' | 🟨 | Dani Jiménez · Alcorcon |
| 81' | 🟨 | César de la Hoz · Almeria |
| 83' | 🟨 | Carlos Bellvis · Alcorcon |
| 87' | 🟨 | Juan Muñoz · Almeria |
| 87' | 🟨 | Nikola Maraš · Almeria |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 11 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 9 | Corners | 2 |
| 13 | Fouls | 22 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Almeria | Alcorcon |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.57 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.49 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.60 |
| venue | Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos |
| coach days | 24.00 | 755.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.22 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.84 | 2.79 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1550.37 | 1455.34 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 19.12 | -19.54 |
| eye test v1 | -0.22 | 0.08 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.19 | -0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 47.10 | 58.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.29 | 1.34 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | — |
| league points | 56.00 | 48.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.60 | 73.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.40 | 48.40 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.60 | 1.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.00 | 9.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.15 | -0.41 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 25.24 | 27.84 |
| state index | 0.26 | -0.53 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.56 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.14 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.20 |