← Segunda División 2019 · Sat, Jun 13, 07:30 PM UTC · ref: Juan Pulido
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Zaragoza win | 54% | 1.79 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.50 |
| Alcorcon win | 18% | 5.40 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Alcorcon −0.75 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Zaragoza −0.75 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.69 |
| Over | 43% | 2.26 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | 🟨 | Alberto Guitián · Zaragoza |
| 36' | 🟨 | Albert Dorca · Alcorcon |
| 71' | ⚽ | Stoichkov · Alcorcon |
| 74' | ⚽ | Stoichkov · Alcorcon |
| 78' | 🟥 | Cristian Álvarez · Zaragoza |
| 84' | ⚽ | Fran Sandaza · Alcorcon |
| 90' | ⚽ | Miguel Linares · Zaragoza |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 7 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 6 | Corners | 1 |
| 12 | Fouls | 21 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Zaragoza | Alcorcon |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.60 |
| venue | Estadio de la Romareda |
| coach days | 560.00 | 743.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.04 | 1.93 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.19 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1573.27 | 1462.51 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 26.89 | 0.09 |
| eye test v1 | 0.19 | -0.09 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.05 | -0.31 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.00 | 59.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.84 | 1.27 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.63 |
| league points | 58.00 | 44.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.80 | 68.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.20 | 51.60 |
| rest days | 30.00 | 30.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.37 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.76 | 1.38 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.00 | 13.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.58 | -0.68 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 26.07 | 26.98 |
| state index | 0.79 | 0.05 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.17 | -0.42 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.80 |