← Segunda División 2019 · Sun, Mar 1, 05:15 PM UTC · ref: Javier Iglesias
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fuenlabrada win | 40% | 2.43 |
| Draw | 34% | 2.80 |
| Alcorcon win | 26% | 3.74 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Alcorcon −0.25 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Fuenlabrada −0.25 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 70% | 1.38 |
| Over | 30% | 3.18 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 26' | 🟨 | Adrián Diéguez · Alcorcon |
| 28' | ⚽ | Luis Perea · Alcorcon |
| 30' | ⚽ | Stoichkov · Alcorcon |
| 37' | ⚽ | Juanma Marrero · Fuenlabrada |
| 41' | 🟨 | Cristian Glauder · Fuenlabrada |
| 43' | ⚽ | Luis Perea · Alcorcon |
| 52' | 🟨 | Oriol Riera · Fuenlabrada |
| 58' | 🟨 | Juanma Marrero · Fuenlabrada |
| 63' | 🟨 | Randy Nteka · Fuenlabrada |
| 66' | 🟨 | Juanma Marrero · Fuenlabrada |
| 66' | 🟥 | Juanma Marrero |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 3 |
| 10 | Shots | 18 |
| 4 | On target | 9 |
| 6 | Corners | 5 |
| 12 | Fouls | 11 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 2 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Fuenlabrada | Alcorcon |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.17 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.07 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.74 | 0.35 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| venue | Estadio Fernando Torres |
| 70' | ⚽ | Iban Salvador · Fuenlabrada |
| 77' | ⚽ (pen) | Hugo Fraile · Fuenlabrada |
| 83' | 🟨 | Laure · Alcorcon |
| 85' | 🟥 | Cayetano Quintana · Fuenlabrada |
| 90' | ⚽ | Óscar Arribas Pasero · Alcorcon |
| coach days | 0.00 | 639.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.65 | 2.21 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1491.33 | 1462.37 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -30.00 | 12.62 |
| eye test v1 | -1.25 | -0.35 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.11 | -0.14 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.60 | 58.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| league points | 42.00 | 41.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 12.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 69.40 | 65.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.60 | 46.00 |
| rest days | 8.09 | 8.09 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.35 | 1.37 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | -0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.94 | -1.33 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 1.70 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 28.53 | 26.96 |
| state index | -0.79 | 0.03 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.39 | -0.78 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |