← Segunda División 2019 · Sun, Jan 19, 11:00 AM UTC · ref: Juan Pulido
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Elche CF win | 42% | 2.36 |
| Draw | 32% | 2.92 |
| Alcorcon win | 26% | 3.75 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Alcorcon −0.25 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Elche CF −0.25 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 65% | 1.50 |
| Over | 35% | 2.70 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 35' | 🟨 | Samuel Sosa · Alcorcon |
| 38' | ⚽ | Dani Calvo · Elche CF |
| 47' | ⚽ | Carlos Pomares · Alcorcon |
| 69' | 🟨 | Dani Calvo · Elche CF |
| 71' | 🟨 | Adrián Diéguez · Alcorcon |
| 85' | 🟥 | Laure · Alcorcon |
| 90' | 🟨 | Ramon Folch · Elche CF |
| 90' | 🟨 | Alex Mula · Alcorcon |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 9 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 8 | Corners | 2 |
| 12 | Fouls | 29 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Elche CF | Alcorcon |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.00 |
| venue | Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero |
| coach days | 717.00 | 597.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.04 | 2.22 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1479.32 | 1447.16 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -18.23 | -13.82 |
| eye test v1 | -0.58 | -0.30 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.05 | 0.60 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.90 | 55.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.69 |
| league points | 32.00 | 32.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.00 | 71.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.00 | 52.20 |
| rest days | 4.71 | 3.71 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.28 | 1.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.40 | 3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.00 | 13.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.05 | -0.38 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 28.31 | 26.94 |
| state index | -0.44 | -0.54 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.45 | -0.12 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |