← Segunda División 2019 · Wed, Jan 15, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: Iosu Galech
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Alcorcon win | 42% | 2.29 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.00 |
| Numancia win | 25% | 3.84 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Alcorcon −0.25 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Numancia −0.25 | 49% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 64% | 1.49 |
| Over | 36% | 2.73 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | 🟨 | Richard Boateng · Alcorcon |
| 55' | 🟨 | Luis Perea · Alcorcon |
| 58' | ⚽ | Richard Boateng · Alcorcon |
| 61' | ⚽ | Higinio Marín · Numancia |
| 64' | 🟨 | Erik Morán · Numancia |
| 65' | ⚽ (pen) | Stoichkov · Alcorcon |
| 70' | 🟨 | Adrián Castellano · Numancia |
| 90' | 🟨 | Dani Jiménez · Alcorcon |
| 90' | ⚽ | Curro · Numancia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 25 | Shots | 13 |
| 9 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 6 |
| 16 | Fouls | 13 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Alcorcon | Numancia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.40 |
| venue | Estadio Santo Domingo |
| coach days | 593.00 | 228.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.45 | 2.71 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1447.50 | 1495.38 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -26.29 | 11.35 |
| eye test v1 | -1.04 | -0.47 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.29 | -0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.80 | 62.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.53 | 1.23 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.00 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.71 |
| league points | 31.00 | 35.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.80 | 75.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.20 | 51.00 |
| rest days | 12.00 | 10.29 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 1.35 | 1.52 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | -0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.59 | -0.04 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.50 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 26.77 | 26.35 |
| state index | -0.58 | 0.15 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.03 | 0.07 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |