← Segunda División 2019 · Sun, Dec 22, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: Víctor Areces
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 35% | 2.80 |
| Alcorcon win | 35% | 2.86 |
| Fuenlabrada win | 30% | 3.25 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Alcorcon +0 | 53% | 1.82 |
| Fuenlabrada +0 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 70% | 1.38 |
| Over | 30% | 3.15 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 28' | 🟨 | Unai Elgezabal · Alcorcon |
| 30' | 🟨 | Carlos Bellvis · Alcorcon |
| 34' | ⚽ | Richard Boateng · Alcorcon |
| 36' | 🟨 | Rui Costa · Alcorcon |
| 45' | 🟨 | Paris Barandiaran · Alcorcon |
| 45' | 🟨 | David Prieto Galvez · Fuenlabrada |
| 59' | 🟨 | Anderson Cruz · Fuenlabrada |
| 71' | ⚽ (pen) | Hugo Fraile · Fuenlabrada |
| 73' | 🟨 | Mikel Iribas · Fuenlabrada |
| 88' | 🟨 | Reko · Alcorcon |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 8 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 6 | Corners | 6 |
| 20 | Fouls | 24 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Alcorcon | Fuenlabrada |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.80 |
| venue | Estadio Santo Domingo |
| coach days | 569.00 | 2699.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.37 | 1.72 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1445.25 | 1538.17 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -17.77 | 5.75 |
| eye test v1 | -1.00 | -0.43 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.15 | 0.66 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.90 | 62.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 1.17 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.52 |
| league points | 29.00 | 36.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 69.80 | 71.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.20 | 42.20 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 6.92 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.38 | 1.71 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.20 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.91 | -1.08 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.80 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.67 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 28.07 | 29.17 |
| state index | -0.49 | -0.03 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.23 | -0.75 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |