← Segunda División 2019 · Sat, Oct 19, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Isidro Díaz de Mera
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Alcorcon win | 36% | 2.82 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.00 |
| Almeria win | 31% | 3.30 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Alcorcon +0 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Almeria +0 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 67% | 1.44 |
| Over | 33% | 2.91 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | ⚽ (pen) | Stoichkov · Alcorcon |
| 11' | 🟨 | José Corpas · Almeria |
| 15' | 🟨 | Iván Balliu · Almeria |
| 26' | 🟨 | Daniel Romera · Alcorcon |
| 28' | 🟨 | Stoichkov · Alcorcon |
| 44' | 🟨 | Óscar Arribas Pasero · Alcorcon |
| 55' | 🟨 | Albert Dorca · Alcorcon |
| 58' | 🟨 | Valentín Vada · Almeria |
| 61' | 🟨 | Richard Boateng · Alcorcon |
| 63' | ⚽ | César de la Hoz · Almeria |
| 73' | 🟨 | José Corpas · Almeria |
| 73' | 🟥 | José Corpas · Almeria |
| 75' | 🟨 | Albert Dorca · Alcorcon |
| 75' | 🟥 | Albert Dorca · Alcorcon |
| 86' | ⚽ | Nikola Maraš · Almeria |
| 88' | ⚽ | Rui Costa · Alcorcon |
| 90' | 🟨 | Rui Costa · Alcorcon |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 10 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 23 | Fouls | 15 |
| 7 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 1 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Alcorcon | Almeria |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.22 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.53 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.40 |
| venue | Estadio Santo Domingo |
| coach days | 505.00 | 79.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | -3.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.31 | 2.16 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.36 |
| elo | 1449.22 | 1526.16 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 19.79 | -44.30 |
| eye test v1 | -0.67 | -1.14 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.12 | -0.34 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.70 | 59.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.49 | 1.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.69 |
| league points | 18.00 | 19.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 64.40 | 73.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.00 | 49.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.31 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 1.58 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -5.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 8.20 |
| skill v1 | -1.23 | -0.38 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.40 |
| squad age | 28.35 | 25.84 |
| state index | -0.23 | -0.93 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.37 | 0.38 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.17 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |