← Segunda División 2019 · Tue, Oct 1, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: Rubén Ávalos
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win | 60% | 1.59 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.07 |
| Alcorcon win | 15% | 6.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Alcorcon −1 | 54% | 1.80 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid −1 | 46% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.75 |
| Over | 45% | 2.16 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 9 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 8 | Corners | 3 |
| 24 | Fouls | 18 |
| 7 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | Alcorcon |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.47 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.60 |
| venue | Estadio de Vallecas |
| 🟨 |
| Martín Pascual · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
| 90' | 🟨 | Unai Elgezabal · Alcorcon |
| 90' | 🟨 | David Fernandez · Alcorcon |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) | Stoichkov · Alcorcon |
| 4.20 |
| coach days | 214.00 | 487.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.20 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.42 | 2.39 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1551.16 | 1411.39 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -3.73 | -9.53 |
| eye test v1 | 0.12 | -0.52 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.10 | -0.33 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.50 | 52.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.34 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.53 | 0.63 |
| league points | 12.00 | 11.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 13.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.80 | 69.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 61.60 | 50.20 |
| rest days | 3.21 | 3.13 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.43 |
| season ppg | 1.33 | 1.38 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.00 | -2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.60 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | 1.27 | -0.73 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 25.90 | 28.23 |
| state index | 0.06 | -0.49 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.91 | -0.10 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |