← Segunda División 2019 · Sat, Sep 28, 04:00 PM UTC · ref: Santiago Varón
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Alcorcon win | 47% | 2.26 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.30 |
| Extremadura win | 22% | 5.25 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Alcorcon −0.25 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Extremadura −0.25 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 62% | 1.54 |
| Over | 38% | 2.57 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | 🟨 | Alex López · Extremadura |
| 35' | 🟨 | Daniel Romera · Alcorcon |
| 56' | 🟨 | Diego Caballo · Extremadura |
| 60' | ⚽ | Fran Cruz · Extremadura |
| 73' | 🟨 | Casto · Extremadura |
| 86' | 🟨 | Carlos Bellvis · Alcorcon |
| 90' | 🟨 | Carlos Bellvis · Alcorcon |
| 90' | 🟥 | Carlos Bellvis · Alcorcon |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) | Kike · Extremadura |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 11 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 19 | Fouls | 19 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Alcorcon | Extremadura |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.45 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 1.80 |
| venue | Estadio Santo Domingo |
| coach days | 484.00 | 239.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 7.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 6.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.38 | 3.69 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1429.43 | 1417.92 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 27.77 | -21.08 |
| eye test v1 | -0.20 | 0.28 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.32 | 0.31 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.10 | 61.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.34 | 0.53 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.72 |
| league points | 11.00 | 3.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 22.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 8.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 69.20 | 74.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.60 | 50.20 |
| rest days | 7.88 | 5.92 |
| scorer concentration | 0.43 | — |
| season ppg | 1.57 | 0.43 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.00 | 2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.00 | 15.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.96 | -0.21 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 27.93 | 27.82 |
| state index | -0.21 | -0.84 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.33 | -0.45 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |