← Segunda División 2019 · Sat, Sep 14, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: Dámaso Arcediano
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ponferradina win | 39% | 2.57 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.02 |
| Alcorcon win | 30% | 3.25 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Alcorcon −0.25 | 55% | 1.76 |
| Ponferradina −0.25 | 45% | 2.16 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 62% | 1.55 |
| Over | 38% | 2.55 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | 🟨 | Adrián Diéguez · Alcorcon |
| 13' | 🟨 | Richard Boateng · Alcorcon |
| 21' | 🟨 | Luis Valcarce · Ponferradina |
| 41' | ⚽ | Kaxe · Ponferradina |
| 58' | 🟨 | Richard Boateng · Alcorcon |
| 58' | 🟥 | Richard Boateng · Alcorcon |
| 64' | 🟨 | Samuel Sosa · Alcorcon |
| 65' | 🟨 | Samuel Sosa · Alcorcon |
| 65' | 🟥 | Samuel Sosa · Alcorcon |
| 71' | ⚽ | Daniel Romera · Alcorcon |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 8 |
| 6 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 12 | Fouls | 25 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ponferradina | Alcorcon |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | — | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.47 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 3.40 |
| venue | Estadio El Toralín |
| coach days | 470.00 | 470.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | — | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | — | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | — | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | — | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | — | 3.40 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | — | 0.20 |
| dominance (last 5) | — | 0.57 |
| elo | 1420.70 | 1404.86 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 9.91 | 0.79 |
| eye test v1 | -0.61 | 0.46 |
| eye trend v1 | — | 0.56 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 45.50 | 49.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.23 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.56 | 0.66 |
| league points | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.75 | 68.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.75 | 41.80 |
| rest days | 7.02 | 6.08 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | — |
| season ppg | 1.25 | 1.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | — | 2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | — | 13.40 |
| skill v1 | -1.06 | -1.44 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.75 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | — | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.25 | 5.60 |
| squad age | 26.97 | 27.46 |
| state index | -0.11 | -0.32 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.23 | -1.46 |
| threat rate (last 10) | — | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.33 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |