← Segunda División 2019 · Sun, Sep 1, 04:00 PM UTC · ref: Jon González
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Lugo win | 35% | 3.03 |
| Alcorcon win | 33% | 3.30 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.90 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Alcorcon +0 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Lugo +0 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 63% | 1.50 |
| Over | 37% | 2.69 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | ⚽ | Richard Boateng · Alcorcon |
| 12' | 🟨 | Carlos Pomares · Alcorcon |
| 26' | 🟨 | Adrián Diéguez · Alcorcon |
| 32' | ⚽ | Daniel Romera · Alcorcon |
| 45' | ⚽ | Cristian Herrera · Lugo |
| 49' | ⚽ (pen) | Stoichkov · Alcorcon |
| 58' | ⚽ | Cristian Herrera · Lugo |
| 64' | 🟨 | Unai Elgezabal · Alcorcon |
| 72' | 🟨 | Alejandro López · Lugo |
| 85' | ⚽ | Fran Sandaza · Alcorcon |
| 89' | 🟨 | Manu Barreiro · Lugo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 18 | Shots | 12 |
| 7 | On target | 8 |
| 11 | Corners | 3 |
| 9 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Lugo | Alcorcon |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.43 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.80 |
| venue | Estadio Anxo Carro |
| coach days | 335.00 | 457.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.53 | 3.36 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1443.08 | 1401.66 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 0.64 | -12.22 |
| eye test v1 | -0.06 | 0.04 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.09 | 0.77 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.90 | 43.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.23 | 0.53 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.69 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.60 | 70.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.40 | 45.20 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 7.92 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 3.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.26 | -1.00 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 28.10 | 28.27 |
| state index | -0.23 | -0.37 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.34 | -0.66 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.36 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |